VVIX pickup relative to VIX: Storm clouds are gathering

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With equity markets in the US at all time highs, there are worrying signs appearing in the distant market of volatility and options. If these storm clouds start to gather momentum, the ensuing correction will be severe.

Lets take a look at some of them and then find out some setups in the forex domain.

 


THe volatility of VIX index, is indicative of the coming volatility after a period of 4 weeks of sanguine trading. The S&P 500 is in grave correction zone as earning season draws to an end with overall midcap and small caps showing a lower earning numbers. Trump impeachment and rep losing Virgina and Kentucky is all starting to build up.

The above table shows the underperforming earnings last quarter. Thins are starting to get very bad for the mid caps and small caps.

 


The put/call ratio here shows the complacency of markets unseen in recent times. Contrast this with the volatility pickup in previous charts.

Given the movement in these, we take a look at the currencies below.

Inside we have the analysis for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, EURGBP and AUDUSD.

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